E. Mcgrath-spangler, A. Molod, L. Ott, and S. Pawson, Impact of planetary boundary layer turbulence on model climate and tracer transport, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, vol.15, issue.13, p.7269, 2015.
DOI : 10.5194/acp-15-7269-2015

G. Svensson and J. Lindvall, Evaluation of Near-Surface Variables and the Vertical Structure of the Boundary Layer in CMIP5 Models, Journal of Climate, vol.28, issue.13, p.5233, 2015.
DOI : 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00596.1

I. Sandu, A. C. Beljaars, P. Bechtold, T. Mauritsen, and G. Balsamo, Why is it so difficult to represent stably stratified conditions in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models?, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, vol.125, issue.2, p.117, 2013.
DOI : 10.1002/qj.49712555904

URL : http://doi.org/10.1002/jame.20013

A. Holtslag, M. Tjernström, S. Basu, A. C. Beljaars, G. Svensson et al., Stable Atmospheric Boundary Layers and Diurnal Cycles: Challenges for Weather and Climate Models, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol.94, issue.11, p.1691, 2013.
DOI : 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00187.1

URL : https://ore.exeter.ac.uk/repository/bitstream/10871/20938/1/Stable%20Atmosppheric.pdf

B. J. Van-de-wiel, A. F. Moene, R. J. Ronda, H. De-bruin, and A. Holtslag, Intermittent Turbulence and Oscillations in the Stable Boundary Layer over Land. Part II: A System Dynamics Approach, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.59, issue.17, p.2567, 2002.
DOI : 10.1175/1520-0469(2002)059<2567:ITAOIT>2.0.CO;2

J. Sun, L. Mahrt, C. J. Nappo, and D. H. Lenschow, Wind and Temperature Oscillations Generated by Wave???Turbulence Interactions in the Stably Stratified Boundary Layer, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.72, issue.4, p.1484, 2015.
DOI : 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0129.1

D. Cava, L. Mortarini, U. Giostra, R. Richiardone, and D. Anfossi, A wavelet analysis of low-wind-speed submeso motions in a nocturnal boundary layer, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol.56, issue.703, p.661, 2016.
DOI : 10.1017/CBO9780511840524

N. Vercauteren and R. Klein, A Clustering Method to Characterize Intermittent Bursts of Turbulence and Interaction with Submesomotions in the Stable Boundary Layer, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.72, issue.4, p.1504, 2015.
DOI : 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0115.1

A. H. Monahan, T. Rees, Y. He, and N. Mcfarlane, Multiple Regimes of Wind, Stratification, and Turbulence in the Stable Boundary Layer, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.72, issue.8, p.3178, 2015.
DOI : 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0311.1

N. Vercauteren, L. Mahrt, and R. Klein, Investigation of interactions between scales of motion in the stable boundary layer, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol.146, issue.699, p.2424, 2016.
DOI : 10.1007/s10546-012-9768-8

E. Bou-zeid, C. Higgins, H. Huwald, C. Meneveau, and M. B. Parlange, Field study of the dynamics and modelling of subgrid-scale turbulence in a stable atmospheric surface layer over a glacier, Journal of Fluid Mechanics, vol.446, p.480, 2010.
DOI : 10.1017/S0022112001007443

S. Poon and C. W. Granger, Forecasting Volatility in Financial Markets: A Review, Journal of Economic Literature, vol.41, issue.2, p.478, 2003.
DOI : 10.1257/.41.2.478

URL : http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.334.6366

H. Akaike, Applied Time Series Analysis pp, pp.1-23, 1978.

D. Faranda, F. M. Pons, E. Giachino, S. Vaienti, and B. Dubrulle, Early warnings indicators of financial crises via auto regressive moving average models, Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, vol.29, issue.1-3, p.233, 2015.
DOI : 10.1016/j.cnsns.2015.05.002

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01258385

D. Faranda and D. Defrance, URL http://www.earth-syst-dynam, Earth System Dynamics, vol.7, issue.5177517, 2016.

A. Uchida, K. Yoshimura, P. Davis, S. Yoshimori, and R. Roy, Local conditional Lyapunov exponent characterization of consistency of dynamical response of the driven Lorenz system, Physical Review E, vol.78, issue.3, p.36203, 2008.
DOI : 10.1103/PhysRevA.38.5938

H. Fujisaka, Progress of theoretical physics, p.1264, 1983.

P. Cortet, A. Chiffaudel, F. Daviaud, and B. Dubrulle, Experimental Evidence of a Phase Transition in a Closed Turbulent Flow, Physical Review Letters, vol.105, issue.21, p.214501, 2010.
DOI : 10.1103/PhysRevE.58.6828

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/cea-01373378

B. Saint-michel, B. Dubrulle, F. Ravelet, and F. Daviaud, Evidence for Forcing-Dependent Steady States in a Turbulent Swirling Flow, Physical Review Letters, vol.111, issue.23, p.234502, 2013.
DOI : 10.1088/1367-2630/11/12/123001

URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00773512

S. Thalabard, B. Saint-michel, E. Herbert, F. Daviaud, and B. Dubrulle, A statistical mechanics framework for the large-scale structure of turbulent von K??rm??n flows, New Journal of Physics, vol.17, issue.6, p.63006, 2015.
DOI : 10.1088/1367-2630/17/6/063006

N. H. Packard, J. P. Crutchfield, J. D. Farmer, and R. S. Shaw, Geometry from a Time Series, Physical Review Letters, vol.77, issue.9, p.712, 1980.
DOI : 10.1016/0375-9601(80)90519-8

T. Sauer, J. A. Yorke, and M. Casdagli, Embedology, Journal of Statistical Physics, vol.22, issue.3-4, p.579, 1991.
DOI : 10.1007/BF01053745

B. Saint-michel, F. Daviaud, and B. Dubrulle, A zero-mode mechanism for spontaneous symmetry breaking in a turbulent von K??rm??n flow, New Journal of Physics, vol.16, issue.1, p.13055, 2014.
DOI : 10.1088/1367-2630/16/1/013055

L. Mahrt, S. J. Richardson, N. Seaman, and D. Stauffer, Turbulence in the nocturnal boundary layer with light and variable winds, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol.133, issue.667, p.1430, 2012.
DOI : 10.1007/s10546-009-9424-0

J. S. Risbey, T. J. O-'kane, D. P. Monselesan, C. Franzke, and I. Horenko, Metastability of Northern Hemisphere Teleconnection Modes, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.72, issue.1, p.35, 2015.
DOI : 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0020.1

O. Kaiser, D. Igdalov, and I. Horenko, Statistical Regression Analysis of Threshold Excesses with Systematically Missing Covariates, Multiscale Modeling & Simulation, vol.13, issue.2, p.594, 2015.
DOI : 10.1137/140972184

P. Metzner, L. Putzig, and I. Horenko, Analysis of persistent nonstationary time series and applications, Communications in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, vol.7, issue.2, p.175, 2012.
DOI : 10.2140/camcos.2012.7.175

I. Horenko, On the Identification of Nonstationary Factor Models and Their Application to Atmospheric Data Analysis, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, vol.67, issue.5, p.1559, 2010.
DOI : 10.1175/2010JAS3271.1

K. P. Burnham and D. R. Anderson, Model selection and multimodel inference: a practical information-theoretic approach, 2003.
DOI : 10.1007/b97636

A. Wolf, J. B. Swift, H. L. Swinney, and J. A. Vastano, Determining Lyapunov exponents from a time series, Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena, vol.16, issue.3, p.285, 1985.
DOI : 10.1016/0167-2789(85)90011-9

URL : http://chaos.utexas.edu/manuscripts/1085774778.pdf